Coronavirus outbreak- Alberta officials release full COVID-19 projections - Coronavirus update
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Alberta Premier Jason Kenney, joined by Dr. Deena Hinshaw and AHS CEO Dr. Verna Yiu, provided a provincial update on the COVID-19 situation Wednesday, including the public release of full projections of the pandemic.
The province has modelled three scenarios: probable, elevated and extreme. Modelling is done to allow the government to anticipate and prepare for the demands on the province’s healthcare system.
The probable scenario is the one the government expects to happen, provided Albertans continue to follow chief medical officer of health Dr. Deena Hinshaw’s advice.
“The most important factor of how big or small the impact of COVID-19 is in this province is the behavior of each and every one of us,” Hinshaw said Wednesday. “If Albertans stop following public health restrictions and guidelines, we can expect to experience a higher impact than the data currently suggests.
Under the probable scenario, it is projected the virus could peak in mid-May with a total of 800,000 infections and between 400 and 3,100 deaths. Peak hospitalizations would be seen in late
May and would see between 736 and 900 people hospitalized with 220 to 244 of those needing care in the intensive care unit.
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